SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Udinese |
72.13% ( 0.08) | 17.13% ( -0.02) | 10.75% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.06) | 40.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.06) | 62.65% ( 0.07) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.18% ( 0) | 9.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.38% ( 0) | 32.61% ( -0) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.8% ( -0.14) | 46.2% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.12% ( -0.11) | 81.87% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 72.12% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.13% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.75% |
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