Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
