Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
