Given the improvements that Barnsley have made in recent weeks, you cannot completely write them off ahead of this contest. However, if Fulham claim an early lead, they could cruise to victory at Oakwell, and that is how we see things panning out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.