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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
B

Derby
2 - 0
Barnsley

Morrison (22', 47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Barnsley
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-2 Barnsley

With the stakes high for both teams, we expect plenty of nerves to be on show at Pride Park. However, while we would have backed Derby at any other stage of the season, we are now predicting a Barnsley win, one which will take them closer to a once unthinkable survival in this division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
45.45%26.88%27.67%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35%24.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83%59.17%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29%35.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51%72.49%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 45.44%
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Draw 26.87%
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Derby
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Millwall
Wednesday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-1 Derby
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Hull City
Tuesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 QPR
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, February 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


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