We said: Barnsley 1-2 Middlesbrough
With Barnsley producing their best results of the season, this game should be a lot more competitive than it might have been several weeks ago. Nevertheless, that does not stop us from predicting a narrow win, albeit by a narrow scoreline.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
