Both managers will likely feel that they have the freedom to push for all three points in this match. However, another defeat could be damaging to their hopes of remaining in their respective positions, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
37.29%	26.87%	35.83%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14%

53.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68%

75.32%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2%

28.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35%

64.65%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 37.29%

Birmingham City 35.83%

Draw 26.87%

Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.83%