Coventry would ordinarily be content with trying to claim a share of the spoils at Craven Cottage, but such is their situation that they must push for a maximum return. However, that will only play into Fulham's favour, and we expect the home side to cruise to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
