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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
BL

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Cork (44'), Zaroury (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Burnley

Burnley are in sensational form as they travel to St Andrew's but Birmingham will not be broken down as easily as Swansea were on Saturday afternoon. Eustace's team have fared well against the higher-ranked sides in the Championship and a clash with the Clarets under the floodlights will be a challenge Blues relish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
19.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 24% (0.323 0.32) 56.59% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-1.047 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-1.342 -1.34)52.48% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-1.163 -1.16)74.15% (1.161 1.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.853 -0.85)41.44% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.759 -0.76)77.94% (0.758 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.592 -0.59)18.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-1.011 -1.01)49.52% (1.009 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 19.41%
    Burnley 56.58%
    Draw 23.99%
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Birmingham
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Stoke
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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