SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol City |
31.3% ( 0.11) | 25.72% ( 0.03) | 42.98% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.09) | 50.01% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.09) | 71.99% ( 0.08) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( 0.03) | 29.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( 0.03) | 65.89% ( -0.03) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.11) | 23.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( -0.16) | 57.02% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.97% |
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