SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.93% ( -0.23) | 25.67% ( 0.09) | 42.4% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.44) | 49.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( -0.39) | 71.58% ( 0.39) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.37) | 29.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.45) | 65.09% ( 0.45) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.12) | 23.23% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.18) | 57.14% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.4% |
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