SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.87% ( 0.09) | 26.36% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% ( -0.13) | 58.5% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( -0.1) | 79.08% ( 0.1) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.01) | 22.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.02) | 56.35% ( 0.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.18) | 42.38% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( -0.15) | 78.77% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.77% |
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