Although Blackburn have gone 23 league matches without a draw this season, we feel that the run will come to an end this weekend. As well as Rovers being inconsistent on their travels, Sunderland have been poor at home, and the two teams could play out a low-scoring stalemate.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
