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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
Carrow Road
BL

Norwich
1 - 3
Blackburn

Sara (90+2')
Hernandez (24'), Duffy (46'), Nunez (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dolan (8'), Szmodics (15', 49')
Dahl Tomasson (25'), Rankin-Costello (30'), Travis (90+4')
Wharton (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

With the pressure increasing on Wagner, the German may accept that this is an all or nothing fixture. That may play into the hands of Blackburn, who have the ability to overcome most challenges in this division, yet we feel that Norwich will edge this contest with a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.43% (4.772 4.77) 23.75% (-0.659 -0.66) 34.82% (-4.111 -4.11)
Both teams to score 62.03% (2.144 2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (2.915 2.92)39.99% (-2.914 -2.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (2.953 2.95)62.35% (-2.951 -2.95)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (3.59 3.59)19.6% (-3.587 -3.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (5.537 5.54)51.55% (-5.536 -5.54)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.812 -0.81)22.84% (0.814 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-1.213 -1.21)56.57% (1.215 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.43%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.82%
    Draw 23.75%
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.525 0.53)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.49 0.49)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.748 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.479 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.572 0.57)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.473 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.323 0.32)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.238 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.631 -0.63)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.199 0.2)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.589 -0.59)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-1.117 -1.12)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.965 -0.97)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.545 -0.55)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-4 Blackburn
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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