SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
52.82% ( 1) | 23.52% ( 0.09) | 23.67% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -1.42) | 45.68% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -1.37) | 68% ( 1.37) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( -0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( -0.28) | 47.59% ( 0.29) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( -1.69) | 33.39% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( -1.9) | 70.01% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.67% |
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