Blackburn had to dig deep at points to hold onto their lead against Stoke, and their counter-attacking abilities could pay dividends once again against a Birmingham side who have been more expansive since the arrival of Rooney.
Blues will have one eye on the home clash with relegation-threatened Rotherham United on Saturday as another must-win, and in the meantime we expect the visitors to show their defensive frailties on the road at Ewood Park.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
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