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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
SL

Blackburn
0 - 1
Swansea


Carter (32'), Rankin-Costello (37'), Szmodics (60'), Wharton (63'), Moran (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cullen (28')
Cullen (50'), Fulton (77'), Ashby (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Swansea have the quality to get back to winning ways in this contest, the visitors not expected to be close to the relegation zone in the long term. Nevertheless, we feel that Rovers will edge this contest, helped by a fast start at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
32.29% (0.177 0.18) 24.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 42.98% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.71% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (0.125 0.13)45.29% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.12 0.12)67.63% (-0.122 -0.12)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.173 0.17)26.83% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.227 0.23)62.13% (-0.229 -0.23)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)21.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)53.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 32.29%
    Swansea City 42.98%
    Draw 24.72%
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-4 Blackburn
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Leicester
Sunday, October 1 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship


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