Oxford Utd have been far from impressive in their five friendly fixtures to date, while the Saints have secured convincing victories in each of their pre-season matches, suggesting the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
32.79% ( 0)	24.3% ( 0.01)	42.91% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.84% (

-0.02)

43.15% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45% (

-0.02)

65.55% (

0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.01)

25.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

-0.01)

60.33% (

0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.01)

20.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.02)

52.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 32.79%

Southampton 42.91%

Draw 24.3%

Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.91%