SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
43.31% ( 0.48) | 26.18% ( -0.19) | 30.51% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.68) | 52.21% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.58) | 73.91% ( -0.58) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( 0.53) | 23.95% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( 0.76) | 58.17% ( -0.76) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.15) | 31.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 0.17) | 67.85% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.51% |
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