Sunderland will feel confident about taking advantage of what appears to be a lack of confidence and harmony in the Watford ranks. However, the Hornets still possess quality players, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Sunderland
45.21% ( -3.31)	26.33% ( -0.04)	28.46% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 50.55% (

2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

2.17)

53.71% (

-2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

1.8)

75.2% (

-1.8)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.61)

23.68% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.88)

57.79% (

0.88)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

3.94)

33.77% (

-3.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

4.06)

70.43% (

-4.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 45.21%

Sunderland 28.46%

Draw 26.32%

Watford	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -1.24) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -1.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.44) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.46%