With two away wins to their name already this season, Sunderland will fancy their chances on Wednesday evening. However, Reading have a perfect record at home, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the Royals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.33) 
