Bournemouth
3 - 1
Birmingham

Christie (17'), Solanke (31'), Anthony (76')
Lerma (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (69')
Gardner (20'), Pedersen (34'), Graham (47'), Hernandez (69'), Sunjic (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Birmingham City

Although Bournemouth's form has dipped in recent weeks, we think that they should have enough quality in their squad to claim a victory over a Birmingham side that tend to struggle on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Birmingham City
69.86%	18.54%	11.6%

Both teams to score 46.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57%

44.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2%

66.8%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47%

11.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56%

36.44%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.64%

47.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.24%

82.76%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 69.85%

Birmingham City 11.6%

Draw 18.54%

Bournemouth	Draw	Birmingham City
2-0 @ 12.74% 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.85%	1-1 @ 8.82% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.54%	0-1 @ 4.08% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.7% Total : 11.6%