Derby
2 - 2
Birmingham

Plange (87'), Bielik (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (7'), Hogan (56')
Woods (62'), Etheridge (63'), Gardner (70'), James (89')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Derby County and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 2-1 Birmingham City

There will be a part of Bowyer's thinking where he considers a draw to be a good result from this contest. However, Blues are facing a side which will push hard for all three points, and that extra desire may serve the Rams well in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Birmingham City
38.16%	28.53%	33.31%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66%

60.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5%

80.5%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19%

66.81%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63%

70.37%

Score Analysis

Derby County 38.16%

Birmingham City 33.3%

Draw 28.52%

Derby County	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.3%