Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
