Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
