Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
70.27% | 17.17% | 12.56% |
Both teams to score 54.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.67% | 35.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.64% | 57.35% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.02% | 8.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.37% | 30.62% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% | 39.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% | 76.48% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 5.03% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.54% 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.03% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.68% Total : 70.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.4% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.63% Total : 12.56% |
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