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MC
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium
BL

Man City
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Delap (18'), Foden (75')
Delap (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Surridge (22')
Zemura (70'), Cook (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBournemouth
70.27%17.17%12.56%
Both teams to score 54.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.64%57.35%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.02%8.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.37%30.62%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18%39.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52%76.48%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 70.26%
    Bournemouth 12.56%
    Draw 17.17%
Manchester CityDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.62%
3-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 5.03%
4-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.54%
5-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-2 @ 1.03%
6-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 70.26%
1-1 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.4%
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-1 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.35%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 12.56%


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