Bournemouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Solanke (83'), Lowe (89')
Mepham (40'), Lowe (43'), Cook (72'), Kelly (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (20')
Smith (25'), Brown (39'), Thompson (57')
Fox (32')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Stoke City

Bournemouth will be eager to make up for lost time and start chasing Fulham again, so we think that the Cherries will continue their winning streak. Stoke were poor in midweek and are unlikely to derail Scott Parker's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bournemouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Stoke City
54.44%	24.37%	21.19%

Both teams to score 49.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18%

51.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42%

73.58%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05%

18.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.52%

50.48%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84%

39.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13%

75.87%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 54.43%

Stoke City 21.19%

Draw 24.37%

Bournemouth	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.43%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.19%