We said: Stoke City 1-0 Luton Town
Although Luton are enjoying a positive run of form, they tend to struggle against the Potters, with Stoke winning four of the last five meetings between the sides, and we think that the hosts will edge out the Hatters in a cagey contest on Wednesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
