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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Stoke City |
| 38.03% | 27.49% | 34.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% | 77.41% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% | 28.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% | 64.54% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% | 30.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.8% | 67.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.48% |
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