Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
