Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Coventry City
37.49%	27.21%	35.3%

Both teams to score 50.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77%

55.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54%

76.46%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.23%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2%

29.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12%

65.87%

Score Analysis

Derby County 37.48%

Coventry City 35.3%

Draw 27.2%

Derby County	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.48%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.3%