SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
30.26% ( -0.88) | 27.23% ( 0.02) | 42.5% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.62% ( -0.37) | 56.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.3) | 77.39% ( 0.3) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.83) | 33.81% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( -0.91) | 70.47% ( 0.92) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0.29) | 26.22% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 0.38) | 61.32% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.5% |
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