SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
44.95% ( 0.27) | 25.69% ( 0.06) | 29.36% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( -0.41) | 50.71% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.37) | 72.61% ( 0.37) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.05) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( -0.07) | 56.08% ( 0.07) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( -0.45) | 31.53% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( -0.53) | 67.92% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.36% |
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