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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
IL

Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich


Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-2 Ipswich Town

It may have been nearly 16 years since Ipswich last got the better of Southampton in a competitive fixture, but Russell cannot fix the Saints' horrendous defensive play overnight, and such frailties should prove fatal once again. Ipswich are hardly consistent at the back themselves, but McKenna's in-form troops have conceded just one goal on the road so far and were unlucky not to put Wednesday to the sword by more goals at the weekend, so another Tractor Boys success is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
20.29% (-2.613 -2.61) 21.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 57.98% (2.521 2.52)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-4.262 -4.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (-3.835 -3.84)41.75% (3.837 3.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (-3.982 -3.98)64.15% (3.984 3.98)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-4.557 -4.56)34.32% (4.56 4.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-5.194 -5.19)71.02% (5.195 5.2)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.496 -0.5)14.14% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.979 -0.98)41.8% (0.981 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 20.29%
    Ipswich Town 57.98%
    Draw 21.72%
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.497 -0.5)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.606 -0.61)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.792 0.79)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 9.49% (1.404 1.4)
0-2 @ 9.28% (1.229 1.23)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.706 0.71)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.298 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Leicester
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 5-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 Ipswich (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship


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