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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
SEH Sports Ground
WL

Ipswich
3 - 2
Wolves

Hutchinson (28'), Ladapo (39'), Taylor (58')
Evans (16'), Aluko (86'), Baggott (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Hee-chan (4'), Gomes (15')
Traore (12'), Hee-chan (45'), Cunha (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Ipswich Town 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (Ipswich to win on penalties)

An in-form Ipswich are a different proposition to a leaky Blackpool for Wolves, who were fortunate to travel home from Luton with a point in the bag and cannot make the fatal mistake of underestimating their Championship counterparts. Despite their penchant for attacking supremacy at home, Ipswich have also been leaking goals at an alarming rate at Portman Road, so this tie may very well need to be settled from 12 yards after an entertaining draw, where Ipswich's recent shootout exploits can create an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
65.19% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 19.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 15.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.17% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)38.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.84% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)11.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)35.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)74.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 65.18%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.5%
    Draw 19.31%
Ipswich TownDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 65.18%
1-1 @ 9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.31%
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.1%
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 Ipswich (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Liverpool
Saturday, September 16 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-2 Wolves
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 5-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Wolves
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-4 Brighton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League


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