We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough
While Bristol City have improved at Ashton Gate as the season has progressed, this match may be more about how Boro perform on their travels. All things considered, they have a poor record away from the Riverside Stadium, but we are backing Wilder's side to edge this contest in the latter stages.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
