SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Middlesbrough | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 21 | Swansea City | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Birmingham City | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Preston North End | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
39.09% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( -0.13) | 34.24% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( 0.49) | 53.18% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( 0.41) | 74.74% ( -0.42) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 0.34) | 26.58% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( 0.45) | 61.8% ( -0.46) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 0.19) | 29.46% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( 0.23) | 65.46% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.24% |
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