As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Bristol City
55.1% ( 0.61)	22.68% ( 0.06)	22.22% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44% (

-1.04)

43.56% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05% (

-1.03)

65.95% (

1.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0.16)

15.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24% (

-0.29)

44.76% (

0.29)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-1.17)

33.5% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86% (

-1.31)

70.14% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 55.1%

Bristol City 22.22%

Draw 22.67%

Norwich City	Draw	Bristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.1%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.22%