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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
BC

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wells (27')
Scott (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBristol City
57.35% (-0.597 -0.6) 22.62% (0.804 0.8) 20.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-3.001 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-3.826 -3.83)46.07% (3.832 3.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-3.725 -3.73)68.37% (3.73 3.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.492 -1.49)15.81% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.83 -2.83)44.97% (2.835 2.83)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-2.404 -2.4)37.07% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-2.466 -2.47)73.85% (2.473 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.35%
    Bristol City 20.03%
    Draw 22.61%
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% (1.166 1.17)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.9 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Burnley
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-5 Burnley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burnley 3-3 Blackpool
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Bristol City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 3-3 Bristol City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Bristol City
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, August 21 at 12pm in Championship


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