Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Reading | 9 | -5 | 15 |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
57.35% ( -0.6) | 22.62% ( 0.8) | 20.03% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -3.83) | 46.07% ( 3.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -3.73) | 68.37% ( 3.73) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( -1.49) | 15.81% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -2.83) | 44.97% ( 2.83) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -2.4) | 37.07% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -2.47) | 73.85% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.03% |
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