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SL
Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
ML

Swansea
2 - 1
Millwall

Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.6%29.09%32.31%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98%82.02%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.27%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.6%
    Millwall 32.31%
    Draw 29.07%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.31%


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