Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
