Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Swansea City |
59.78% ( 0.1) | 21.99% ( -0.06) | 18.22% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54% ( 0.21) | 46% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( 0.2) | 68.3% ( -0.2) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( 0.1) | 14.98% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.57% ( 0.2) | 43.42% ( -0.2) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.99% ( 0.08) | 39% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.27% ( 0.08) | 75.72% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.77% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.22% |
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