SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
54.54% ( -0.38) | 24.38% ( -0.08) | 21.08% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.83) | 51.96% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.71) | 73.71% ( -0.7) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( 0.17) | 18.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( 0.28) | 50.5% ( -0.27) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.95) | 39.35% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% ( 0.88) | 76.05% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.08% |
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