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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
55.52% ( 2.94) | 23.31% ( -0.42) | 21.16% ( -2.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -0.99) | 47.56% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.93) | 69.77% ( 0.93) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.71) | 16.97% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( 1.24) | 47.07% ( -1.24) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( -2.92) | 36.77% ( 2.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% ( -3.04) | 73.56% ( 3.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.83)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.33)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.52% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.16% |
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