SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
40.72% ( 1.3) | 26.86% ( -0.19) | 32.41% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.48) | 54.31% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( 0.4) | 75.7% ( -0.4) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.93) | 26.22% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 1.24) | 61.32% ( -1.24) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.51) | 31.22% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -0.59) | 67.56% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% |
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