Milwall have looked timid and afraid when playing on the road, failing to score in seven league fixtures away from home last season, and without a goal in three matches this month in all competitions as the visitors.
The Clarets have had plenty of success versus Millwall over the past decade and have started burying more and more of their chances with eight goals in their past two domestic encounters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
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