In the early portion of the new season Burnley have had the ball throughout the majority of their matches, whereas the Shrews have been forced to sit back and sustain their share of attacks, and given the gap in quality between these two sides, we expect the Clarets to find the back of the net a few times in this encounter, which should be more than enough for them to move into the third round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
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