Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Cardiff City
24%	27.81%	48.18%

Both teams to score 43.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.41%

61.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56%

81.43%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05%

41.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61%

78.39%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31%

60.69%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 24%

Cardiff City 48.17%

Draw 27.81%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.81%	0-1 @ 14.65% 0-2 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2% Total : 48.17%