SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.06% ( 0.08) | 25.4% ( -0.06) | 23.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.21) | 53.5% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( 0.18) | 75.02% ( -0.17) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.12) | 20.97% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 0.19) | 53.73% ( -0.19) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.1) | 37.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( 0.09) | 74.59% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
