SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
34.66% ( 0.27) | 27.78% ( 0.18) | 37.56% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0.64) | 57.47% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% ( -0.51) | 78.27% ( 0.51) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0.15) | 31.33% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -0.17) | 67.69% ( 0.17) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( -0.7) | 65.53% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.56% |
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