Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
34.62%	28.24%	37.14%

Both teams to score 47.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.82%

59.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39%

79.61%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38%

30.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.14%

66.86%

Score Analysis

Coventry City 34.62%

Derby County 37.13%

Draw 28.24%

Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.62%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.13%