SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
44.22% ( 0.33) | 27.42% ( -0.07) | 28.36% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.18% ( 0.15) | 57.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.45% ( 0.12) | 78.54% ( -0.12) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.24) | 26% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( 0.32) | 61.02% ( -0.32) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.12) | 36.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( -0.12) | 72.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.36% |
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